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Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports-NBA/NHL/MLB action now on board. Get the sports investment info the books do not want you to have.
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 27, 2022
Orioles vs Red Sox
UNDER 9½ -105 Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

Boston posted a season-high 16 runs against  the Chicago White Sox and now Im betting on a reversal to the norm and a much lower offensive output  vs  Bradish who made his  debut came against the Red Sox on April 29, when he gave up three runs, two earned, in six innings while absorbing a 3-1 loss and low scoring tilt that stayed on the low side of the total. Meanwhile, the Red sox will return fire with right-hander Garrett Whitlock (1-1, 3.58). 

His six previous appearances against Baltimore all came as a reliever last year, and he allowed one run across 11 innings, with 12 strikeouts and one walk. His first game in the majors came on April 4, 2021, vs. Baltimore, and he threw 3 1/3 scoreless innings and still matches up very well against this Orioles offense. 

Under is 8-0 in Orioles last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League East.

BALTIMORE is 13-3 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.BOSTON is 12-3 UNDER  against division opponents this season.

MLB  teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BALTIMORE) - after getting shut out against opponent after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 36-10 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 27, 2022
Rangers vs A's
A's
+116 at Ace
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

The Rangers will send right-hander Jon Gray (1-2, 5.14 ERA) to the mound against Athletics left-hander Cole Irvin (2-2, 3.21).

The Rangers rode a ninth-inning uprising to a 4-1 win Thursday in the first game of the series and were lucky to get the win, Im betting their luck runs out tonight. 

Athletics are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

Athletics are 90-43 in their last 133 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

TEXAS is 8-23   against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. TEXAS is 19-51  against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TEXAS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA  3.60, WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 24-49 L/25 seasons  for a go against 67% conversion rate. 

Play on Oakland to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 27, 2022
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
+142 at Ace
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

Arizona looks like. a viable underdog behind left-hander Madison Bumgarner (2-2, 2.76 ERA), Bumgarner, has been in good form  in his first nine starts, with a 28-to-14 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 42 1/3 innings. Note: BUMGARNER is 6-0  against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

ARIZONA is 14-10  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (ARIZONA) - after a game where they had at least 10 less hits than their opponent, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are 25-11 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play on Arizona to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 27, 2022
Heat vs Celtics
Heat
+9 -110 at William Hill
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

I know the Heat have not looked good in recent games, especially on offense, but this team is deep and have enough pride to rally here tonight as they are being openly disrespected by the pundits and the lines-makers alike. 


MIAMI is 15-6 ATS  as a road underdog this season. MIAMI is 7-0 ATS  in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. MIAMI is 15-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders this season. MIAMI is 10-2 ATS  when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season.

BOSTON is 2-11 ATS  in home games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 116-66 L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. 

NBA team vs the money line (MIAMI) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) vs. an excellent defensive team (104 or lrdd  PPG) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 59-16 L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Play on Miami Heat to cover 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 22 years.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.    

I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.