Jack's Free Pick Friday: San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-120)

I like the fact that the San Francisco Giants had yesterday off while the Cincinnati Reds were completing a four-game series with the Chicago Cubs Thursday.  The Giants will be the fresher team, they come in hot at the plate scoring 22 runs in their last two games, and they have a big advantage on the mound in Game 1 of this series.

Carlos Rodon is one of the best starters in baseball.  He is 4-3 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.164 WHIP in eight starts this season with 62 K's and only two homers allowed in 44 2/3 innings.  Rodon is 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in two career starts against the Reds as well.

The Giants are 22-7 in their last 29 games following an off day.  San Francisco is 36-15 in its last 51 road games.  The Giants are 6-0 in their last six meetings with the Reds with each of their last five wins coming by two runs or more.  Bet the Giants on the Run Line Friday.

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15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -115

Alek Manoah was one of the best starters in baseball last season as a rookie.  He has picked up where he left off this season, going 5-1 with a 1.62 ERA and 0.880 WHIP in eight starts.  The Blue Jays should be much bigger favorites over the Los Angeles Angels with Manoah on the mound tonight.

Rookie Chase Silseth goes for the Angels.  He will be making his third start of the season here.  He pitched well in his first start against Oakland, pitching 6 shutout innings.  But he faced Oakland again in his next start and allowed 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 1/3 innings.  The A's have one of the worst lineups in all of baseball, and this will be a big step up in class against the Blue Jays for Silseth tonight.  Roll with the Blue Jays Friday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals +130

I love the value we are getting on the St. Louis Cardinals today as home underdogs.  They will be highly motivated for a victory after losing Game 1 of this series to the hated Brewers, who are 4.5 games ahead of them in the NL Central standings.

What stood out to me was how poorly Brandon Woodruff has pitched on the road this season.  He is 1-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.059 WHIP in four road starts.  Those four starts came against four of the worst lineups in baseball in the Marlins, Reds, Pirates and Cubs.

Conversely, St. Louis starter Dakota Hudson has been dynamite at home.  He is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.067 WHIP in three home starts this season.  Hudson pitched 6 2/3 shutout innings in his last home start against the Brewers.  Take the Cardinals Friday.

20* Heat/Celtics ESPN No-Brainer on Miami +9

I am a perfect 5-0 in this series cashing the Heat in Game 1, the Celtics in Game 2, the Heat in Game 3, the Celtics in Game 4 and the Celtics in Game 5.  After cashing in the Celtics the past two games, I'm going back with the Heat in Game 6 tonight.

This line has simply gotten out of control.  The Celtics go from being 5 and 6.5-point home favorites in Games 3 and 4 to whopping 9-point favorites in Game 6.  That is too big of an adjustment, and it's an overreaction from the Celtics winning the last two games in blowouts.

The Heat aren't going to only score 80 and 82 points again while shooting 31.9% and 33.3% from the field, respectively.  They will shoot it better, especially from 3-point range where they have gone a combined 15-of-79 (19%) the past two games.  This Miami team has too much pride to go home without a fight as they are a bunch of dogs.  And the injury report came back better than expected for them as they should have almost everyone available tonight.

Miami is 15-6 ATS as a road underdog this season.  Boston is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games following two straight wins by 10 points or more.  The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit home loss.  Miami is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 trips to Boston.  Bet the Heat in Game 6 Friday.